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9.05.2008

Scouting Auburn-Southern Miss, 9/5

Hey everyone. Had a good time during my radio segment. Didn't really delve into controversy, though I reiterated my (firm) belief that Kodi Burns isn't seriously injured. He'll play tomorrow.

Also, as a plug, Forest Avenue Academic Magnet is holding its annual "Back To School Bash" tonight on the grounds. Yours truly will be helping distribute food. Good prices abound.

OK. Let's get to business.

THE KEY POSITIONS
QUARTERBACK
Advantage: Southern Miss
How can USM get the check here with a freshman playing? Austin Davis went 14-of-21 for 206 yards last week. That's more than double what Auburn's two guys accomplished. Can either one of them throw?

RUNNING BACKS
Advantage: Auburn
Ben Tate looks like a franchise-type back. Brad Lester's quick moves provide an ideal complement to Tate's pugnacious style. And hear this: Eric Smith could start on several teams. He's only 18.

RECEIVERS
Advantage: Southern Miss
Auburn's fastest receiver is out for the season. It's most consistent one hyperextended a knee last week. Coach Tommy Tuberville said the veterans weren't even running the correct routes last week. USM's DeAndre Brown is a legitimate player.

OFFENSIVE LINE
Advantage: Auburn
The Tigers' first-team guys played more effectively than expected last week -- and the expectations were high. The run-game work was obvious. Three hundred yards affirms that. The pass protection was above average as well. Offensive problems last week had nothing to do with protection.

DEFENSIVE LINE
Advantage: Auburn
With Tez Doolittle now apparently ready for a big role, the Tigers are oozing skill and depth. Few offensive lines can handle this group. Few teams in America have this kind of speed off the edge.

LINEBACKERS
Advantage: Auburn
Auburn's group was remarkably productive last week, thanks in large part to backup middle linebacker Josh Bynes. The sophomore flourished. The Tigers have a lot of good players here. Still, I believe the best linebacker in this game is USM's Gerald McRath.

SECONDARY
Advantage: Auburn
The first-team guys are very good on the whole. They're experienced, skilled and unflappable. I have some concerns about safety Mike McNeill, who is out of position more often than expected, but the other three starters make up for it.

SPECIAL TEAMS
Advantage: Auburn
Good kicker. Good punter. Coverage teams did their job last week. Robert Dunn scored on a punt return. All systems go.

COACHING
Advantage: Auburn
USM's decision to hire Larry Fedora during the offseason was shrewd. He's a great offensive mind. Still, Tommy Tuberville has a track record. Tuberville also has a pile of credentials. He's the better pick.

*********************

THE KEY PLAYERS
SOUTHERN MISS
Damion Fletcher (No. 25)
5-10, 177, Jr.
Last week: 222 rushing yards on 21 attempts, 2 Tds (vs. Louisiana-Lafayette)
Scouting report: He's a compact back in the Brad Lester mold. Fletcher isn't a punisher by any means. He's also not particularly fast for a small back. What makes him good? Fletcher is patient. He knows how to let his blockers work for him. He doesn't freelance unless it's necessary. Fletcher also runs with remarkable aggression once a tackler arrives. He'll kick his legs and spin and work harder than most backs to break away from tackles.


AUBURN
RB Ben Tate (No. 44)
5-11, 215, Jr.
Last week: 115 yards on 13 attempts (vs. Louisiana-Monroe)
Scouting report: Tate insisted before the season that he had enough speed to thrive in Auburn's new spread offense. He wasn't kidding. The junior broke free for a pair of long runs in the Monroe game, adding allure to his already intriguing mix of skills. Tate has enough acceleration to get though many holes and enough power to break tackles. He also has excellent hands. Tate could be a slot receiver if needed.

DT Sen'Derrick Marks (No. 94)
6-1, 295, Jr.
Last week: 2 tackles; both were for a loss (vs. Louisiana-Monroe)
Scouting report: Marks blows people away with his quick feet, which allows him to exploit blockers more easily. He can sense when an offensive lineman is off-balance. Marks then is able to accelerate into an advantageous position more quickly than other tackles. He's also a top-rate tackler. There's a reason so many NFL teams are tracking Marks this season.

KEYS TO THE GAME
AUBURN OFFENSE
Last week was a mess. Quarterbacks Kodi Burns and Chris Todd seemed confused at times and made only a few memorable throws. Though it's easy to lie problems at the quarterbacks' feet, Auburn's receivers were a big issue. They missed routes. They didn't get open. Remember that Auburn's receivers were considered the team's weakest link last season. It's unreasonable to suddenly believe those same guys are excellent now just because Tony Franklin is in charge. The Tigers need to pay closer attention to which routes create open space. Those routes need to be used more often. It's clear that the running game is alive and well. Finding ways to supplement that ground work through the air is Auburn's top overall priority right now.

AUBURN DEFENSE
Auburn was nearly flawless last week. Sure, defensive coordinator Paul Rhoads counted eight missed tackles. That's eight too many for his tastes. Still, Monroe's offense accomplished almost nothing -- even after the second- and third-team defenses hit the field. The Tigers must remain sharp at the point of attack. USM tailback Damion Fletcher is a smart runner who will find holes if they exist. The Golden Eagles desperately need Fletcher to break free, which gives freshman quarterback Austin Davis some extra confidence. Masking coverages should yield some dividends today, particularly if Davis feels like he has to make something happen in the passing game.


Photo credit: Todd Van Emst/Auburn University

Questions? Comments? Post directly to the blog below or email me at jgtate@gannett.com.

24 Comments:

Blogger Terry21 said...

Any comments on USM's O-line?

I know its not deep, but they didn't allow 1 sack last week (a RB did). The RT didn't allow one all last season.

2:08 PM  
Blogger Jay G. Tate said...

No offense to USM, but that was La-Lafayette.

2:33 PM  
Blogger James in Auburn said...

Jay, I think your whole assessment is pretty much spot on.

There is only one thing that I would disagree about, that being QB play. A freshman QB is going to have a difficult time (I would think) coming into JH and putting up those same kind of numbers against the AU defense. I can see the AU D Line getting in his face all day long.

2:52 PM  
Blogger Jay G. Tate said...

Based on what happened last week, you know, I like the USM guy better.

3:10 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Assessment was fair. Still think with a workable QB AU has big receiver advantage. Smith and Billings are steady and reliable. Billings is actually very fast and it's very deceptive to watch. I'm not sold on Slaugther in a game yet but all hints are that he's a franchise type guy. I could go on and on and even mention guys like Fannin but it's pointless if a QB can't make use of their talents.

We'll see.

It might be fair to score coordinators for both teams each week. I would give USM the big advantage on the offensive side right now. They can run their stuff. We can't or haven't yet.

3:26 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Also, good call on McNeil. Thought the same thing. Etheridge is steady and strong. He's also laying the licks. I like Thompson better than McNeil right now. He's a better athlete. I've been saying since Mike was a senior in high school that I didn't understand all the love he gets. He didn't make many plays back then either.

3:30 PM  
Blogger Bulldog354 said...

I'll just be happy if we show some progress on the passing front and keep our Elite D off the field a little more. I'd hate to throw a gassed Defense at LSU again like last year and that date is rapidly approaching.

3:32 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

We have to handle MSU first. They don't play soft along the lines. Hate that that game is just before LSU.

3:34 PM  
Blogger Kris said...

Jay G:

Nothing against Southern Miss, but why did D. Brown go there? He was unstoppable in the all-star game and appears to have Randy Moss type skills. Were there academic issues that allowed him to play immediately there (a-la South Florida)? Just wondering. They generally don't get those type of offensive skill position guys.

4:55 PM  
Blogger ron mexico said...

I say we throw down some predictions regarding the offense...

1. Quarterback situation: I say they go back to the bowl game rotation with Chris Todd starting and Kodi Burns coming in frequently.

2. Mario Fannin's role: 3 carries 1 catch, i think they are still saving him up for the bigger games.

3. Leading rusher: Kodi Burns with 70 yards. In the words of Will Muschamp "He ain't hurt."

4. Leading receiver: Rod Smith 6 catches 70 yards. So far he's the only one worth throwing to.

5. Overall: The offense will be alot better but nothing great. They'll score 27 points.

I know that sounds pretty optimistic especially the way Auburn plays in the early games, but i think with last weeks performance they should be taking this game seriously.

4:59 PM  
Blogger Kris said...

If they don't take it seriously we will get beat. They have traditionally played us tough and will certainly have nothing to lose. Besides those-that-must-not-be-named to the west, S. Miss may be the hungriest team we play all year.

5:10 PM  
Blogger Jay G. Tate said...

I just don't think USM has the horsepower on defense to hold Auburn's rushing attack.

We all can see that passing is a work in progress. When Auburn buckles down and starts running, it takes two waves of good linemen to slow it down.

There are teams around that have ample depth. USM is not one of them.

5:13 PM  
Blogger Jay G. Tate said...

OK. I'm headed to the BASH.

Chat with you all later.

My goal is to get a pre-game video up just before kickoff ... just giving you all a sense of what's happening around the stadium.

I'll be filming after the game, too, but I may or may not have time to edit that footage. We'll see.

In-game blogging will be handled as it was last week.

5:15 PM  
Blogger Scott M. Brannan said...

hey jay, what, no tat update today? what gives?

5:18 PM  
Blogger scott,will not,from tucson said...

phred, did you ever get a ticket? i might be able to hook you up.

6:34 PM  
Blogger ADP said...

Scott from Tucson ... appreciate you thinking about me dude. Scottie B from Tennesse hooked me up for tomorrow. (Sweet! Thanks SB). Keep me in mind for LSU though. My ex-wife was the owner of the season tickets. I miss those tickets.

8:08 PM  
Blogger Jay G. Tate said...

I got the tats (plural) on Thursday.

I'll try to get a picture up in the next few days. I wasn't going to push that on you all, but since Socttie B. asked ...

9:01 PM  
Blogger Bulldog354 said...

I thought it was a given....lets see it

10:47 PM  
Blogger scott,will not,from tucson said...

good on you, phred. sorry 'bout the ex. and the tickets.

11:34 PM  
Blogger ADP said...

Yea, I really liked those seats.

12:00 AM  
Blogger ADP said...

Crudup ... lookout for Ike.

12:02 AM  
Blogger ron mexico said...

That's cold that woman took your tickets Phred. Don't you have a dog or something you could have traded her?

9:01 AM  
Blogger ADP said...

They were hers to start with. It went like this for me back then. "Do you take these tickets to be you lawfully wedded ..."

9:10 AM  
Blogger ron mexico said...

Yeah I'm about to get married and my fiance' has the hook up for my tickets (although they fell through this year). I'll have to factor the ticket situation into each one of our arguements.

9:20 AM  

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