Looking at Arkansas
Hey everyone. I did some "research" for my Saturday story about this BIG GAME. Sharing is caring.
STATISTICAL COMPARISONS
OTHER ITEMS OF NOTE
STATISTICAL COMPARISONS
- SCORING OFFENSE
- AUB -- 41.4 (2)
- ARK -- 35.8 (4)
SCORING DEFENSE - AUB -- 23.8 (8)
- ARK -- 29.0 (12)
OFF. YARDS - AUB -- 512.8 (2)
- ARK -- 441.0 (4)
DEF. YARDS - AUB -- 344.2 (9)
- ARK -- 404.5 (12)
RUSHING OFFENSE - AUB -- 253.8 (2)
- ARK -- 111.8 (11)
PASSING OFFENSE - AUB -- 259.0 (2)
- ARK -- 329.2 (1)
RUSHING DEFENSE - AUB -- 153.4 (10)
- ARK -- 121.0 (7)
PASSING DEFENSE - AUB -- 190.8 (9)
- ARK -- 283.5 (12)
OTHER ITEMS OF NOTE
- AU RED ZONE DEFENSE: 16-for-17 (94.1%): 9 TDs, 7 FGs.
- AU RED ZONE OFFENSE: 19-for-20 (95%): 14 TDs, 5 FGs.
- AU TURNOVER MARGIN: +8 (best in SEC)
- Nine Arkansas players have caught a touchdown pass this season.
- Two of the Razorbacks' top three wideouts (Joe Adams and Jarius Wright) are shorter than 6-0.
- Texas A&M ran 93 plays in a 42-17 loss to Arkansas last week.
- Texas A&M had eight drives that ended inside the ARK 40.
- DE DeQuinta Jones, coveted Auburn recruit earlier this year, is now a reserve player for the Razorbacks.
posted by Jay G. Tate at
7:24 PM
187 Comments:
Substance
I really get annoyed when people do the first post without real substance.
AU puts 50 on Arky.
Arky puts 30 on AU.
Almost paradise...
Don't hate michael..
I watched the replay of the ARK TX A&M game. Seemed to me A&M beat themselves. They would get inside the 40 and then do something stupid. Maybe I am naive, but I really think they had a lot more to do with their loss than ARK. Although they did take advantage of A&M's stupid mistakes.
Thats what I gathered too cincy.
A&M self destructed to some degree.
I don't understand the scoring defense rankings if those numbers are correct.
Jay,
Isn't there something wrong on the scoring defense that you posted? Either the points allowed is backwards it seems or the ranking is backwards or am I reading this wrong altogether?
Why such low rushing totals for Arkansas? Are they bad at running the ball, or have they been so far behind they have had to throw most every down?
Smith is a hell of a back. See the Auburn game from 08.
I've watched Arkansas twice this year. TAMU and UGA played similar games, and both should've won. TAMU was just dumb. Auburn will have a lot of fun against that D and Auburn's D will do enough to keep Arkansas just out of reach.
AUfan..
I know the Hogs threw almost exclusively against Alabama.
Yeah, Jay, what's up with the scoring defense?
The numbers are right. The rankings are wrong.
Took a look at Todd's and Mallett's respective numbers. They are pretty much even with Chris being on the better part of most if not all the numbers. Of course I don't know if you would say its been a draw with the defenses that they've both come up against.
I think Auburn wins big this weekend.
And here are the numbers (from cbs.sportsline.com)
Chris Todd
Pass Att. 138
Pass Comp. 81
Passing Yds 1230
Passing TDs 12
Ints 1
Rushing Att. 11
Rushing Yds -16
Rushing Avg. -1.5
Ryan Mallett
Pass Att. 123
Pass Comp. 67
Passing Yds 1148
Passing TDs 11
Ints 2
Rushing Att. 12
Rushing Yds -32
Rushing Avg. -2.7
Evening
60 something to 30 something sound about right, FSJ?
I'm thinking more 49-30
That's still BBQ'ing their butts though.
Evening Ham.
I like our chances if they try to put it in Todd's hands.
Yikes. Auburn needs to learn the goal line stand concept. Too much scoring in the red zone.
Todd should pad those running stats once they open up the playbook
Sorry, found his video time funny
I don't think sack yardage should count against QB rushing numbers.
No Va...
You almost HAVE to put it in Todd's hands...
You let those RB's go crazy and there's no way you can stop the Auburn attack.
Also Onterrio has more rushes, yards, and TD's than their top two backs combined.
Thanks for the setup FSJ
Just listening to the archive of Coach Dye on Finebaum.
He said there's no way Ole Miss can beat Alabama.
He said Ole Miss can't score over 10 on Bama.
Sounds similar to his "UGA ain't man enough" comments a few years ago.
LOL..I love listening to Dye.
Pat delivering the sweet kiss of death
I think he had a point though... Old Mrs. won't be able to handle Bama
Oh..I agree with him...
FSJ, thanks for the reply on Arkansas and their rushing game. I looked up some stats-
Arkansas 110 rushes for 436 yds(4 gms)
Auburn 223 rushes for 1271 yds(5 gms)
Todd's QB rating is 160.1. Mallet is 158.3. We can hold our own in a shoot out.
And have the edge rushing and in defense.
I almost think that you have to run the ball effectively on Auburn....for two reasons.
1) Auburn lacks depth on defense
2) It keeps Auburn's offense off the field.
I had one ranking incorrect.
It has been corrected.
This is the last time I try to blog while packing and reading with my daughter.
The NCAA's stats site is down right now, but I remember Arkansas' pass defense being almost butt-naked last in the FBS.
It's at least 115th.
That's okay Jay, you have your priorities correct. Daughter comes first.
To be fair, Auburn has allowed more than double as many points (through five games) as it did last season. I think it's 53 to 113.
115 is close enough to terrible for me
Or in that range.
FSJ, I agree with you on running the ball against Auburn.
Butt-naked last is pretty bad.
The key is to not have a defense like AU's this year to go along with an offense like AU had last year.
That is a disaster...
Otherwise known as UA 2003.
Dahm Dum Dummmmm
Ark defense is 8th worst in yards per game from the Yahoo (Rivals) web site.
I think for us to lose this game, we will have to go up there and completely stink the place up. I don't see that happening with this team and coaching staff.
Auburn is ranked 40th in passing defense.
Jay,
Have you made your prediction yet?
I left out that was pass defense on the Ark post.
AU is going to tear off their tusks and turn em into whining little piggies.
Welcome back Snow.
Thanks IV. How's everybody doing? I had asked before if anybody knows Gus Malzahn's IQ? Curious.
Much higher than mine Snow.
Auburn's defense looks very middle of the road statistically overall. It's just not the shut them down defense that we and the rest of the SEC are used to. That's partly due to depth and partly to the speed of the offense.
I think that before this season is over, we will be damn proud of this defense and what it has accomplished with the talent and depth at hand. Just my opinion.
Malzahn is brilliant at befuddling defenses and cameramen. That's all we really need to know about his IQ.
My prediction, as I recall, was AU wins 35-31.
Sorry Jay, I must have missed it, but I like it.
I agree IV. I think their accomplishments are currently under appreciated.
I know that FSJ is impressed with Auburn's season so far, or at least he gives me that perception. However, it is so funny that so many of my Bama friends have stopped a lot of their trash talk and have started to saying things like "hey, Auburn is doing alright" or "Auburn is looking good". They have quit saying things like "Auburn hasn't got a chance against whomever". That stopped right after the WVA game. I think maybe we have started to make them have second thoughts about what a horrible team they thought Auburn was and just maybe the Iron Bowl ain't going to be a cakewalk like they had thought. I love it. That alone has made this a fun season so far.
The beating of Sensi needs to stop. I finally figured out what is going on. He is certain Auburn will lose 31-35. He just hasn't figured out which opponent. Give the guy a break.
IV..
You are correct. I posted the other day my thoughts on Auburn's season so far and the schedule to come..
I see anywhere from 9-3 to 11-1.
I'll split the difference and say they finish 10-2. That ought to get Chizik coach of the year honors in the SEC and possibly nationally.
It also should get Gus a HC job somewhere too.
For those of you that bet on games...
UF lost their left tackle to a torn ACL in practice.
FSJ,
I heard Javier Arenas suffered a concussion at practice as well. Any word on that?
Make Gus HC
Haven't heard that Sensi..I've been on Tiderinsider and haven't seen anything..I'll let you know.
I hate to admit it, but Bama is the one team I might have to pull a Sensi on my prediction. But I'll worry about that in mid November and by then maybe things will have changed.
I would like to predict that Sensi predicts Auburn 31, Kentucky 35.
IV: I didn't post the pick here. It's part of our Saturday package ... which is due Monday.
Go figure.
NoVaTiger...
Looking at it right now...I think Bama is the worst matchup for AU on their schedule.
We are good on offense and have a stout defense.
We need to work on ST though..Good grief.
Not even close, Steve.
I'm skeptical - not delusional.
Jay, why don't you believe Aubrey Phillips will play a snap at Auburn? Has it got something to do with the undisclosed ailment?
Kentucky don't have enough defense to win.
They do have a helluva all purpose player though..
I can't remember his name right now.
Rivals says AU just lost two LB's for the season to injury. I don't subscribe, but anyone know who?
On the HABOTN picks this week something doesn't look right
Texas A & M favorite over Oklahoma State with the points (off). Is this a typo or what?
Sensi, you fell for my secret strategy. Now I know there is no way you pick Auburn 31, Kentucky 35. Bwahahahaha!!!
Good grief. Hope that is not true.
I want all teams at full strength..
I see now. Pybus out for the year due to concussion. Gaston out for some time.
I see now. Pybus out for the year due to concussion. Gaston out for some time.
Well...I wouldn't mind Tebow being on the sidelines for the SEC championship game should we make it there.
Sponge, I bet it is Pybus and Gaston.
Backups, and Pybus hasn't played all year. I bet we end the year with only three.
I would say we could loan you some of our 15 LBs..but we might need them.
Man, what is the deal with Eltoro, the bull. It aint that hard to pick up the LB position, if you don't have to call the D.
It looks to me like he is a little lost out there..
I'm sure the coaches will get him straightened out.
FSJ, we need them. Help on the way next year though.
He is young and the speed of the college game takes a while to get use to. imho
It would be helpful if he could catch on this year.
Any chance Eltoro turns pro at the end of the season and plays football in Canada?
HEY EVERYBODY!
Michael!!!
Steve, Football Canada-style ..
Eltoro will turn pro and play in the new CFL -- the Colombian Football League.
You guys and your crazy stats.
Auburn will win because they're better.
Period.
Thanks for yelling... spice the place up a bit this evening.
There has been speculation that Pybus is done playing football period. Don't know how true it is. Who would have ever thought Adam Herring would have such an important role in the Auburn D?
I believe that if we sustain a serious injury this year, it will not be in practice from here until the end of the season. I think this coaching staff has been able to find the right level of practice intensity in order to keep us from having serious injuries. If it happens, I believe that it will be in a game and I pray that it doesn't happen at all, not just for the teams sake, but also for the players sake
Come one fellas, Eltoro hasn't even been suspended for a season or injured for a season. Give the man a chance, he's only a sophomore. I'M A MAN! I'M 40! COME AT ME!
We have been very lucky in terms of injuries so far.
Just checking in case no one saw my question - has anyone heard if Byron will be back for the ARK game?
Don't know Cincy.
Think about it. Arkansas upset Tulsa last season. Malzahn hasn't had the joy of whipping Arkansas. Malzahn is a mad genuis. Arkansas will not stand a chance. Malzahn will pull out ever trick in the book and likely right a few more.
Gettin' to be old folks bed time in Prattvegas. All of you have a good night and an awesome day tomorrow. May your troubles be few and your day be sunny and fair. Keep the hate alive and fresh and love Auburn even more tomorrow than you did today.
Night, IV, sweet dreams.
Steve, I'm waiting for the Malzahn/Nutt matchup. I don't expect Malzahn will admit it, but you know he would love to lay a smackdown on ol' Houston and the Rebels.
Maybe Kentucky Cincy.
Quoting the late, great George James, former head coach of the Alabama State University Hornets during the 1970s and early 1980s, during a live interview on WSFA in the Gump ...
"I honestly believe the team that scores the most points will win the game."
I am watching the Arkansas/Texas A&M game. Arkansas will do something stupid, but A&M will answer by doing something even stupider. Arkansas is going down. I predict pain.
I don't believe in hogs, I believe in Beatles.
"Nine Arkansas players have caught a touchdown pass this season."
How many have caught TDs for Auburn?
I can count 5 but I think I am forgetting some.
Jet..
Frank Sanders had one of those moments on JOX this week.
In discussing the FSU coaching situation, he said that Bobby Bowden's "predecessor" had been had already been determined.
Lunchinkitchen, Fannin, Zachery, Trott, and Davis immediately come to mind.
Arky pass defense is 113th.
AU pass defense is tied for 38th.
Arky run defense is 48th.
AU run defense is 82nd.
Arky total defense is 97th.
AU defense is 55th.
Got this from www.cfbstats.com
Pretty good site and updated quickly.
Trott
Lutzentrottzen
Fannin
Adams
Zachery
C. Stevens
Steve is correct. 5 players have scored on passes.
Now Jet that is just wrong to throw Stevens in there.
How is this for balance. Through 5 games Au has 1295 yards passing and 1269 yards rushing.
I think James Swinton caught a TD pass, too.
Burns needs to catch a touchdown pass. He has thrown one and run for touchdowns. It would kind of round things out.
James Swinton was fast. He was so fast the QBs couldn't see him to throw him the ball.
An interesting stat is that both Au and Arky have a time of possession o fless than 30 minutes per game. AU is ranked 78th at 29 minutes a game and Arky is ranked 95th at 28 miuntes per game.
I thought Swinton redshirted this year.
I'm hoping we'll go to the jumbo package with Jermaine Johnson and Lee Tilley.
I thought Swinton was wearing a blue and red shirt knocking on doors carrying pizzas.
Don't forget to add Willifred Journette and Greg "internet phenom" whatever his name is.
SEC Gridiron Live is giving out helmet stickers. Snead for Ole Nutt and Jefferson for LSU. They are saying they both will pick up their game.
Don't talk bad about Greg Smith. He is one of my favorite flops. He is the only flop I know that predicted he would play in the first game, and then disappeared. Some say it was a government conspiracy. Some say it was aliens. It would make a good X Files episode.
And my favorite ... immortal Freddie Smooth.
By the way, the internet phenom Kimbo Slice got his butt Kimboed the other night on the Ultimate Fighter. Man, I can't believe people on the net get excited about a guy beating up tomato cans and then they get shocked when he gets spanked by a professional.
Infidels 28, Ole Myth 10
Hat Man 27, Florida (sans Tebow) 24
Good Guys 41, Petrino's Pigs 31
SEC Gridiron Live: All 3 people pick Auburn.
Two of three pick Jawja.
All three pick the evil empire.
Two of three pick the Gatos.
If two teams have a time of possession average of less than 30 minutes, where does the left over time go?
Cincy: Nobody in the media will know about Isom's fate before 9:30 a.m. Saturday.
So ... that information isn't out there.
I am liking the way the Chiz handles injuries/suspensions. It really stinks for the sportswriters, but the opponent never knows who will play. The entire team is pretty much day-to-day.
Thanks, Jay. Guess I am just hearing rumors - or wishful thinking.
I like to see Eddins get some playing time. His dad and brother got plenty of playing time. He is a five star border line flop. The kid deserves a chance.
Petrino was a good OC for us.
But there was that little deal disrespecting my dude Tubbs and then he totally shanked my other team the Falcons.
I really, really hope we take him down hard.
Whatever happened to Monica?
She decided not to hang out here anymore.
That's too bad. She added a lot of substance.
I’m going to become a vegetarian.
Does that mean you’re not going to eat any pork?
Yes.
Bacon?
Yes Dad.
Ham?
Dad, all those meats come from the same animal.
Riiight Lisa, some wonderful, magical animal.
If God didn't want us to eat animals...why did He make them so tasty?
I think its evident xCTT doesn't really like Arky's Petrino.
Why doesn't michael post anymore?
FSJ, the all-purpose Kentucky player you were thinking of earlier was Randall Cobb. UT let him go from right under their nose in Alcoa, TN.
UK QB Mike Hartline's stock is in a rapid decline. It has a lot to do with the competition, however I think that if the trend continues, they will toss in the Ryan Kawasaki dude.
Good morning, hotties! Football starts tonight and only two days until we are enjoying bacon!
Jay, great article on Bart Eddins. Safe travels to Tulsa.
I was not happy with OL's performance, specially the pass protection against UT.
Too many times the UT pass rush just ran through the line. Had it not been for Todd's quickness, and some funky play calling, we would've seen a very different outcome.
It cant be on purpose, or so I think.
Just ran the elliptical and watched College Football Live from yesterday. CGC was on and they did a segment on Auburn's offense. They were very impressed. Showed some of our line's blocking and how Todd makes good decisions.
Please keep in mind that UT does have ton of top level players on their team. Despite their record they had more talent, especially on D than anyone we've faced all year long.
One thing that worries me is the Arkansas game is where good Auburn seasons go to die.
1992, first year of the new format of the SEC, a tie vs Arkansas keeps Pat Dye's final team from being bowl eligible.
1995, a 30-28 loss to Arkansas keeps us from going to Atlanta. The Hogs go instead.
1999, a loss to Arkansas keeps Tommy Tuberville's first team from going to a bowl game...also Ben Leard gets injured early in the game and has to miss a couple of weeks.
2001, a 6-1 Auburn team, undefeated in the SEC goes to Arkansas and gets waxed 42-17 despite out gaining Arkansas 500 to 250 in total yardage. We tie for the SEC West that year, had we won we go to Atlanta.
2002 Arkansas comes into Auburn, rushes for 400+ yards and takes an Auburn 17-14 lead right before the half and turns it into a 38-17 killing. We tie Arkansas for the West that year, they go to Atlanta based on our win.
2006 we are 6-0 ranked # 2 in the nation and Gus Malzahn's offense rolls over us for a 24-10 win that wasn't as close as the score looked.
Arkansas always screws with us.
Agreed RK. What is your score prediction for this game....I said Auburn 45-30.
Anyone else think that since Tubs is no longer here that the Arkansas will be different?
If you mean different as in we win, then yes. Always amazed me we could beat LSU, Florida, Alabama, but not Arkansas!
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Somebody slap me! I've been in the cesspool known as AL.com reading comments. Why do so many bammers comment on Auburn articles? It amazes me that the articles with the most comments almost always deal with Auburn.
I don't know why I go there. It's like a train wreck - I just have to look.
Eddie,
I hope now that it isn't Tub vs Nutt that things will be different. For some reason Houston Nutt and Tubs' favorite team as a kid gave us fits.
I hardly ever make score predictions, but I think we get enough stops with our D to win the game. 38-28 is my guess.
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and rumor has it UT's def coord has coached a game or two, thus probably knows most of the wrinkles in the book...now if he can only get his players to perform them.
that was supposed to follow rk's post...makes more sense that way, ...I think.
So what exactly do we do if we run out of LBs? Are they giving any other players snaps just in case?
RK ...
I used to have the same feeling about Tennessee, and now we've beaten them five in a row, including two in ObKnoxville.
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Eddie almost the whole game
Only when we're not in dime.
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If we don't get some pressure on Mallet, it won't matter how many DB's are in.
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If the D-Line plays like they did against Tennessee (pass rush wise) it will be a long long long afternoon for the defense
Our scheme vs Ark will be different than it was against UT.
Against UT we almost played a base D to stop the run and not pressure the QB. I figure that strategy will change this week.
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mornin' den of hottness.
Eddie....i don't know what to say.
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Is that really your avatar, Eddie?
Nah, I was just trying to combat the Bowie. I'll delete.
Sorry about that.
there was about to be a lego beatdown on ya there Eduardo! BOOM!
I thru it out there quickly for Sensi with the intent to delete shortly after. Bad form on my part. Won't happen again.
Rock and Roll is a dangerous business
Enjoy your time in Tulsa
Rock & Roll ain't noise pollution either homes.
She'd better put on her red shoes and dance the blues.
...over to the new thread.
Eddie,
I thought your avatar was indicative of the cesspool that is Al.com comments.
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