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10.20.2009

First Post: Tuesday of Week Eight

Hey everyone. I know you're geeked about an early Ole Miss game. Should be a doozy at 38 degrees. Or maybe it'll be 65. Who knows?

Us newspaper hacks work several days ahead on some stories. Those of you who get the print edition of the Advertiser know about our Saturday GameDay section, which includes a prediction from moi.

That's due on Monday. Wanna know who I picked? I took Auburn. Here's why: LSU's set of statistics are ugly as can be (how can an SEC offense generate fewer yards than Vanderbilt?) and seem out of line for a team in the top 10. That bubble is going to burst soon. I think Auburn's offense will score 24 and the defense will concede 21.

Am I crazy? Maybe. I just think Auburn will click again at some point. I'm picking this weekend.

As Chizik would say, it'll be a day by day thing. Sometimes Auburn will be pretty good. Sometimes it'll be a mess. It's difficult to predict which team will appear each Friday.

Here's the Auburn situation at this moment:

TODAY'S STORIES

PREVIOUS STORIES

THE VIDEO VAULT

TODAY'S SCHEDULE
We'll have BLAWGIN FOR YOUR NOGGIN around 11:25 p.m. That's when we relay almost everything Gene Chizik says at his 11:30 a.m. presser. Some players are available after that. Not many. Most players -- and Gustav Malzahn -- are available after practice. So we'll add a practice report and a video around 9 or 10.

Here's what the next few days look like. All times are CDT:

Tue., Oct. 20, 4:30 p.m. (Chizik presser at 11:30 a.m.; some players available around noon.)
Wed., Oct. 21, 4:30 p.m.
Thu., Oct. 22, 4:30 p.m. (Tiger Talk @ 7 p.m.)
Fri., Oct. 23, Flying to Baton Rouge, 1 p.m.
Sat., Oct. 24, 6:30 p.m. vs. LSU, ESPN2

Also, please pick up the Advertiser's print edition if you live around here! Our fine Auburn coverage is only one element of our award-winning product.

111 Comments:

Blogger Robert said...

My First Post

8:17 AM  
Blogger FearlessFreep said...

One HABOTN.

8:17 AM  
Blogger FearlessFreep said...

Wow - Virgin Substance!

Congrats Robert!

8:18 AM  
Blogger Jay G. Tate said...

Nicely done, Robert.

8:18 AM  
Blogger Sean said...

First post, with the substance. That's just obnoxious.

8:18 AM  
Blogger Robert said...

Jay Can we stop the run this weekend? Scott is a beast.

8:18 AM  
Blogger Sean said...

I say that because I wish I had done that. But alas, it's too late for me. Regrets and what not.

8:19 AM  
Blogger Kathy said...

Congrats Robert and welcome!

As usual, as I'm typing, JayG is updating!

As this is my first trip to Tiger Stadium and I'm going with some wild women, I hope Jay's prediction is correct!

Sensi, I am fortunate to work for a company that definitely believes in helping the community (although now with the economy we have to take vacation time), and I'm also President of our volunteer organization. I have attended this event for years, and I can tell you I definitely get more out of it than they do (and they get a lot)!

8:20 AM  
Blogger Robert said...

Sean don't hate. We all have had our moment.

8:20 AM  
Blogger Kathy said...

Got to run. Have a great day!

Hottie Hooooooo!

8:22 AM  
Blogger Jay G. Tate said...

Scott is averaging 60 yards per game.

8:22 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

Interesting pick, Jay G.

I enjoy reading the gameday section each week.

8:24 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

Charles Scott - the disappearing man. He is having Ben Tate's junior year.

8:25 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Stack the box and dare Jefferson to beat us with his arm.

8:27 AM  
Blogger Sean said...

It's not hate, I already admitted to envy. Don't make me admit pride and force me to wrath. I have enough penance for one day. ;)

8:27 AM  
Blogger Robert said...

Let me rephrase. Can we stop any running back.

8:27 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Scott's only big game was vs UGA...a lot of players are saying that.

However, a lot of players are saying that about us too.

8:28 AM  
Blogger scottie irons said...

sure hope you're right on your pick JG.

8:28 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

We know Sensi's pick, the only question is how bad will the loss be?

8:31 AM  
Blogger wtc said...

From the last post:

If I had a freshman QB, I would not hesitate to play him against the AU defense at this point. Trouble is, TR will not be playing the AU defense. So saying other teams have done it doesn't say much becasue TR will ot be facing the AU defense. IMO.

I still do not mind geting him inthe game if he helps us win.

8:31 AM  
Blogger Jay G. Tate said...

Thanks for reading, Sensi!

I think Roof would like to mess around with this defense -- he used all kinds of fronts at Minnesota last season -- but he has no linebackers. He can't run a 3-4 or a 4-4 because of that.

He can't run a 5-3 because he doesn't have three reliable inside guys. It's pretty much Mike Blanc and Mike Blanc right now.

8:31 AM  
Blogger coosa said...

So Jay G. picks Auburn - that's very interesting. It tells me that he believes the coaches and Todd when they all say his shoulder is ok. If Jay believes them, then I'll believe them.

8:32 AM  
Blogger wtc said...

Coosa-so you're saying you believe a guy that goes over to cover the team daily versus those of us who sit back and get their info from the x-girlfriend of their 3rd cousin that works the clean up crew at Momma G's in Auburn.

8:35 AM  
Blogger Sean said...

The issue is getting the ball to other people besides the backs and Adams and Zachery. We have to get other WRs and TEs involved.

8:35 AM  
Blogger Sean said...

Hey I know that dude that works at Mama G's, but he's not that reliable.

8:36 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

I get the impression that Jay G. doesn't believe them when they say his shoulder is healthy, but I'm not going to speak for Jay G.

8:36 AM  
Blogger wtc said...

gotta to go to work now.

8:41 AM  
Blogger Robert said...

Just watched the replay. Man i am so sick of hearing Tebow's name during games.

8:42 AM  
Blogger FearlessFreep said...

I was fortunate enough not to get to watch the game Saturday, but I heard a good bit of it on the radio.

I think some of you may have supressed memories (not a bad idea), but it appeared to me that we DID have a strategery of stacking the line to stop the run while Newton was QB.

UK's first TD drive was on a short field, made shorter by a stupid personal foul on Josh Bynes. The big play was Newton's third completion of the night, in 8 attempts, immediately after the penalty. UK's next three posessions with him at QB netted only 52 yards, 3 1st downs and 0 points.

Will Fidler led them the rest of the way, and was able to pass enough to keep the defense off balance. He led them to both of their TDs, and more than half of their total offense.

The true Freshman QB didn't come into JH and beat us. He didn't even see the field during the critical 4th quarter.

8:44 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

They ran on us early during the game which we should have never let happen. Just my opinion.

I remember UK using two different QB's and neither were effective passing the ball. They had less than 100 yards passing total as well.

I don't recall many passes seeing the field in the critical 4th quarter either.

8:49 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Ok, a true freshman and a never used junior combined to come into Auburn and win the game.

8:50 AM  
Blogger FearlessFreep said...

UK's drive chart indicates that Newton led them on 8 offensive possessions - only two went more than 19 yards (including penalties): the first one for 60 yards (which ended with the blocked FG) and the 53-yard TD drive (which included the 15 yard flag).

Our defense effectively shut UK down when the true FR was under center. 38 plays, 143 net yards, and 7 points through the first 48 minutes of the game.

8:53 AM  
Blogger Sean said...

We didn't allow a 3rd down conversion until late in the 4th quarter...it's hard to pin this on the defense. If the offense puts together another TD drive, we most likely win the game.

8:54 AM  
Blogger Sean said...

Our offense being ineffective allowed UK to come into JH and beat us, nothing more, nothing less.

8:55 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

And the final 12 mins was mostly runs on a D that was dead tired because the offense had failed them.


This is just my opinion, but we could have gotten a lot more out of the early part of the game and probably a turnover or two had we dared them to pass on us by putting 8 in the box and saying you'll have to pass the ball to beat us.

We didn't put the freshman in a position early in the game where we could force a mistake because we weren't shutting down their running game.

102 of those 143 net yards they had with Newton were on the ground.

8:58 AM  
Blogger FearlessFreep said...

Oops, that was through the first 41 minutes, not the first 48. My bad.

To put that in perspective, AU had 55 plays for 211 yards and 7 points by that time.

Our defense has been bad this year, but they more than held their own during the first 3 quarters Saturday.

8:58 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

I'm not pinning this one the D at all, I believe it falls on the offense.

I'm just saying our defensive strategy seemed off for what we knew we were getting with KY.

Had the passing part of our offense shown up, it wouldn't have mattered.

8:59 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Freep I agree that the D played well. I'm just not sure about the strategy, I think we could have gotten more out of the D eary in the game to force Newton into having to make passes.

9:00 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

If I had to pick three things I think cost us the game Saturday I'd say in this order...

1. Lack of passing game
2. Missed tackles
3. Not putting 8 in the box and dare KY to beat us passing.

9:03 AM  
Blogger FearlessFreep said...

You hold a team committed to running the ball to only 102 yards on the ground through 3 quarters, you should be able to beat them. Especially since 60 of those 100 yards came on the first drive. UK had 42 net yards rushing over their next 19 attempts.

Credit Rich Brooks for making the QB change when he needed to do so.

9:06 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Anyway, moving on let's make Jay G. look like a prophet and beat LSU this weekend!

9:06 AM  
Blogger FearlessFreep said...

Like I said, I'm going more on what I heard of the game, and what the official play-by-play says on AuburnTigers.com.

I do think we should have done more to pressure Newton into mistakes. It certainly worked with WVU's Jarrett Brown.

I still believe it's a lack of healthy bodies that is killing our defense, not Roof's gameplans. But our tackling has been atrocious even early in the game, and that hurts us badly.

9:09 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Either way, we lost to a KY team we never should have lost to and we didn't force a single turnover in an environment where we should have gotten more.

9:09 AM  
Blogger FearlessFreep said...

I still feel pretty good about the progress we have made as a team this season.

I'm hoping Chizik and staff keep the team together and we get a bowl invite, no matter where it is. Do that, and the growing pains will be worth it.

9:11 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

This comment has been removed by the author.

9:11 AM  
Blogger IV said...

Welcome Robert. I am going to sip some Kool Aid and go out on the limb with Jay G.. I believe that we can and will win this game against LSwho 24 to 17. Thats my story and I am sticking to it.

9:12 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

I feel good about where this team is heading in the long run, but I'd like to know if the sudden struggles on offense were due to the rest of the league catching on, or if there is something wrong with Todd.

You don't just stop making routine throws well without something happening.

9:12 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

Auburn Football Insider Podcast live tonight at 8 p.m. CT.


Reeling from a second straight loss, the AFIP guys talk discuss what it will take to get the Tigers back on track. Join Eddie, E-Bro and Sensi as they talk Auburn football.

9:12 AM  
Blogger FearlessFreep said...

I agree WERK, we should have beaten the Mildcats. But give Brooks some credit. He's a damn fine HC, and is doing very well in a very tough situation.

9:12 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

I give Brooks credit in that he has made KY into a decent football program while he has been there.

I just think last weekends game was more what we didn't do vs what KY did do.

9:14 AM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

Guten Tag Everybody!

9:22 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

Gunter Glieben Glauten Globen, E-Bro.

9:24 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

"Guten Tag, my family and I are looking for sex."

-Clark W. Griswold.

9:25 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

I'll admit European Vacation wasn't the best movie, but I didn't think quoting it would kill a thread.

9:33 AM  
Blogger Ephemeral said...

Guten Taq, Alles Hotties!

Wie gehts?

Purple tigers: bad.

Navy blue tigers: Good!

9:33 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

Okay, I'm throwing it out there.

Do we break out the orange jerseys OR the orange helmets this week?

9:36 AM  
Blogger Brother Jet said...

When I think of Def Leppard, I think of our one-armed quarterback.

9:36 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

I never think of Def Leppard.

9:37 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

Say what you will, Phil Collen is a great guitar player.

9:38 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Geez Sensi, don't you know anything. Phil Collins is in Genesis and is a drummer.

Do we have to walk you through everything?

9:40 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Def Leppard is good for what they are and they have an audience, so I can't beat up on them too much.

Just not something I ever really liked that much. Didn't hate them, just neutral.

9:42 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

Phil Collen - guitar player

Phil Collins retired drummer/singe

9:42 AM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

My Guten Tag was in reverence to Dr. Nick from The Simpsons.

9:43 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Phil Collins > Phil Collen

That being said, I wouldn't put either in my top 1000 favorite musicians list.

9:45 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

Back to my orange jersey/helmet question: yeh or ney?

9:46 AM  
Blogger Brother Jet said...

Just say the word ...

Su-su-sudio!

9:46 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

I don't see it happening.

9:46 AM  
Blogger Sean said...

I doubt it. Gene seems like a traditional-type. I doubt he does anything crazy.

9:48 AM  
Blogger Brother Jet said...

A questions ...

Would an orange helmet stay on Tate's head any better?

9:48 AM  
Blogger Sean said...

Jay's avatar inspired me to create my own, if anyone is interested I can give you the link.

9:48 AM  
Blogger michael said...

Also, don't confuse those names with the game "Feel Colin", which was invented by my friend Colin in high school. He only accepted female contestants. Thus, I am not sure if the game ever actually was played.

9:50 AM  
Blogger michael said...

Tate is a handsome devil who wants to do commercials one day. Getting his face out there by letting his helmet come off all the time is all part of the plan.

9:50 AM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

Orange not gonna happen this week. I say we break out against Furman. We know it'll work then.

Think we'll go all blue for the Navy Nightmare?

9:51 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

The only nightmarish part of the Navy Nightmare is the start time.

9:54 AM  
Blogger Sean said...

The Navy Nightmare will probably look better on TV during the day.

9:57 AM  
Blogger Kristina said...

Why do you boys insist on raising my ire with this foolish talk of orange jerseys and helmets?

10:03 AM  
Blogger Sean said...

We just like hearing from K, that's all.

10:04 AM  
Blogger Kristina said...

Why did we pick a day to wear blue when the team we are playing is blue?

10:06 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

Maybe that's why. To show those Rebels our blue is better.

Or maybe it was just a chance to sell some t-shirts.

10:08 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

We gotta pay the second half of the Tubs buyouy after all.

10:08 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

We also did it on a day where it makes more sense to wear orange with it being Halloween.

10:09 AM  
Blogger Kristina said...

I guess there is better chance for it to look successful if both sets of fans are wearing the same color.

Or, ya know, to sell some tshirts.

10:09 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

We need to have brown stain weekend. Since the formerly orange and blue Denver Broncos are doing the throwback brown jerseys, we should do it as well.

They are 6-0 so it works.

10:11 AM  
Blogger michael said...

Kristina, the reason they are doing Navy Nightmare is because I believe in Auburn and love it.

10:12 AM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

And because people like Michael believe in the Navy Nightmare and other things, I believe in Auburn and love it.

10:14 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

And because the buying public will purchase one time only use t-shirts I believe in Auburn and love it.

10:16 AM  
Blogger scottie irons said...

OK...

10:17 AM  
Blogger scottie irons said...

This comment has been removed by the author.

10:17 AM  
Blogger michael said...

This comment has been removed by the author.

10:17 AM  
Blogger scottie irons said...

nevermind.....

off to lunch. later.

10:18 AM  
Blogger michael said...

I believe in werk.

10:18 AM  
Blogger FSJ said...

I vote for orange jerseys

10:19 AM  
Blogger Scott Chocolate said...

For UT, right FSJ?

10:19 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Michael,

I wouldn't.

10:20 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

Bammer - #1 in your polls, #2 in your bowls.

10:21 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

There's a shirt for your buying public.

10:21 AM  
Blogger Hoopie said...

This is the time of year when rested teams win games and beat the spread. Many fans don't want to hear that argument because it dilutes their demands for accountability and self-important X and O analyses.

LSU rested and dreamed up new plays last week, while AU got further beat up, bruised and tired. Forget statistics, X's and O's, I just don't see how AU can go into BR at night and win right now.

The yearly AU-LSU slobberknocker usually renders both teams injured. I'm hoping that the physical effects of this game don't render the Ole Miss unwinnable.

10:22 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

I kinda like the "habitUAl offender" one.

10:22 AM  
Blogger FSJ said...

I don't care if UT wears the Colts jerseys, we are still going to smack them around.

10:23 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

Nice corndog, Hoopie. Way to slap with both hands.

10:24 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Hoopie,

I don't think either LSU or Auburn are the same physical team they have been in the past.

The 7-3 game a couple of years ago was the most physical game I've ever attended. Just watching the game I felt like I'd taken a beating.

10:26 AM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

Yeah, everyone likes to pretend the 2007 Florida-LSU game was the most physical game ever. That was a tea party compared to 2006 Auburn-LSU. Brandon Cox was not the same quarterback after that one.

10:31 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

"demands for accountability and self-important X and O analyses"

Please explain what and who you are talking about, Hoopie.

10:31 AM  
Blogger Tar Heel Tiger said...

our 3rd trip to BTR.

MrsTHT and I will be in the upper deck where we were in '97, and not in the low end zone where we were in '05.

Even so, I don't think it will be enough. Our defense has been bad all year and showing no signs of improvement. I think more wheels are coming off this weekend.

10:40 AM  
Blogger diggerforAu said...

I wish I could believe and I hope Jay is right but with a week off while Auburn played does not bode well for Auburn.
If the two teams were absolutely equal the week off would tilt the scales.
HOPE JGT IS RIGHT
I still love Auburn and always will.

10:48 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

Post and run.

10:56 AM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

Is that like a post-corner.

10:57 AM  
Blogger Hoopie said...

Sensi....I don't post and run. I post when I can. I work for myself and my partners, so I don't have the luxury of posting on someone else's nickel and can't be around at times. The only reason I'm here now is because I stopped by before lunch to see what the coach had to say and forgot about the time difference.

The comment that you seemed concerned about wasn't aimed at anyone on any blog in particular. It's a general statement and was written that way.

11:20 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

I get the impression that Hoopie just isn't a big fan of Monday morning QB's.

11:21 AM  
Blogger Jay G. Tate said...

New thread UPZ.

11:25 AM  
Blogger Sensi said...

Hoopie,

That wasn't directed at you. It was a comment about myself as I was posting and running at the time.

Sorry to offend.

I did wonder if you were being generic in your earlier post or not. You are not above beating people down on here.

12:55 PM  

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