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7.13.2010

The Five I'm Watching: Part III

Hey everyone. Let's continue.

NICK FAIRLEY
Defensive tackle
  • Age: 22
  • Class: Senior (two seasons of eligibility remaining)
  • Size: 6-foot-5, approximately 300 pounds
  • Previous role: Third guy in a two-tackle system, 2009
  • Theme song: ``Stand," R.E.M.
  • Relevant lyric: "Think about direction. Wonder why you haven't before."


THE GOOD: Nick Fairley is, to me, a totally untapped resource. I watch him play and am reminded of Pat Sims. What does that mean? Big dude, quick feet, light feet, awesome short-range acceleration, tackles that express rage. It's odd considering that both players are generally quiet people. Sims has a more biting wit. Though Fairley managed only a somewhat involved role last season -- he started two games -- the Mobile native was playing with more purpose during the season's final half. He has the capability to be more than a run-stopper; Fairley has the speed and instincts to be a pass-rush asset as well. Nothing in his past suggests that he's an injury liability. Fairley appears to be a rugged guy who can handle the rigors of 40 snaps per game.

THE BAD: If he's so talented, why didn't he shine last season? In his defense, junior college defense can be a pretty chaotic enterprise. Still, it's not like Mike Blanc and Jake Ricks are sure-fire NFL guys. Fairley had a few games -- LSU in particular -- where he was a non-factor. A guy with that kind of talent playing in his 18th college game shouldn't disappear. Though I never heard anyone say conditioning was a problem per se, it was clear that Fairley could be in better condition. More time with Kevin Yoxall, the Tigers' strength and conditioning czar, generally cures those kind of ills. His laid-back nature off the field could be a concern. Will he bring the fire on the field? Perhaps that played a role in Fairley's so-so season in 2009.

THE REALITY: He's my No. 1 breakout candidate ... on either side of the ball. Sure, Cameron Newton has a chance to be a big star. You already know that. So does everyone else in the SEC. Fairley still is under the radar for the most part. I kept seeing shades of Pat Sims last season. I consider that a great development for Auburn's defense, which needs all the good news it can get. I project 40 tackles, 5 sacks, hype building through the fall. Of course, I predicted Tommy Trott would flourish under Tony Franklin's leadership. You might want to take that into account.

What do you think? Speak your mind!

Photo credit: Todd Van Emst/Auburn University

Questions? Comments? Post directly to the blog below or email me at jgtate@gannett.com.

254 Comments:

1 – 200 of 254 Newer› Newest»
Blogger ehyou said...

Football!!!

10:12 AM  
Blogger ehyou said...

I heart linemen.

10:13 AM  
Blogger Gov. Jet said...

I miss the Mea Culpa Project.

Not really.

10:15 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Geez, I read that, get excited then see the name "Tony Franklin" at the end.

I like the Pat Sims comparison, maybe Fairley can turn it on late in his career at Auburn like Sims did.

10:15 AM  
Blogger Scott Chocolate said...

That's "Fairley" good substance.

10:17 AM  
Blogger Jay G. Tate said...

Choco, my opinion of you just dropped half a percentage point.

10:18 AM  
Blogger ehyou said...

Zing!

10:21 AM  
Blogger Norm said...

Homer - Does that mean ScoCho is on double-secret probation?

Good stuff.

10:23 AM  
Blogger cincytiger said...

SchCho,
I liked it.

10:26 AM  
Blogger cincytiger said...

Should be ScoCho, but you know who I mean.

10:26 AM  
Blogger scottie b Tommy Gavin said...

sure hope Fairley come into his own this year. sure need him stopping up that middle.

10:41 AM  
Blogger Scott Chocolate said...

Lame, I know. If I lost half a percentage point for that, how much did those who posted multiple Aycock jokes lose? (Of course, I'm guilty of one of those as recently as last week.)

10:45 AM  
Blogger Tar Heel Tiger said...

excellent analysis, JGT. I was buying into it until the Trott reminder.

I'm not in prison today, but I might as well be. Things are really hopping at the BuyMore North store today.

10:48 AM  
Blogger michael said...

SC, those Aycock jokes were on an expired thread, so they don't really count. Your "Fairley" pun was one of the first ten comments. You are lucky you just lost a half percentage point with Jay G (though if it is any consolation, you gained 6 percentage points with my goats).

lol@the Trott/Franklin prediction. We were all made fools of that year.

10:54 AM  
Blogger Scott Chocolate said...

I feel a lot better knowing I'm +6 with the goats.

11:03 AM  
Blogger michael said...

Then I won't tell you how low their opinion of you was to begin with.

11:06 AM  
Blogger Tar Heel Tiger said...

"expired thread"?

well, it certainly hasn't expired in the sense that it is still available for comments. Heck, someone just posted on that thread a minute or so ago.

So, are you implying that JGT's threads go bad after a certain date? Or get all moldy?

11:07 AM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

Tease.

11:07 AM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

I love this choice. The development of a dominant inside tackle is the key to this defense. If you don't control the inside, you aren't going to be very good defensively. Fairley could be the guy and comparing him with Sims is interesting. Sims was the biggest surprise we had under Tuberville. The guy went from off the team to off the hook.

11:13 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

"Off the Team to Off The Hook"

Sounds like a new reality show on VH1.

11:17 AM  
Blogger Scott Chocolate said...

Ouch. Glad I didn't goat too much.

Celebrity softball video:

http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?content_id=9907833&topic_id=11915278

Above is the link for a short clip of Bo. I'd also recommend highly the longer clip mostly featuring Jennie Finch.

11:18 AM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

BEASLEY!!

11:20 AM  
Blogger scottie b Tommy Gavin said...

E-Bro just Ziemba'd.

11:21 AM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

scottie...Just giving a shout out to the other Beasley. Much love for Fred and his pivotal role in defeating Bama in 95 & 97.

11:23 AM  
Blogger scottie b Tommy Gavin said...

aaahhhh.....nice work then.

11:24 AM  
Blogger Scott Chocolate said...

Yep, he Ziemba'd a Beasley at Ronnie Brown.

11:24 AM  
Blogger Scott Chocolate said...

Oh, okay. I guess the ref will have to pick up the flag.

11:26 AM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

I guess that's what happens when the jersey is not retired. You come across other great Auburn RB's.

Ronnie, Kenny Irons...

11:26 AM  
Blogger scottie b Tommy Gavin said...

....Terry Henley.

11:28 AM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

Word.

11:29 AM  
Blogger scottie b Tommy Gavin said...

oh, and #23 Fob James.

11:29 AM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

Onterio McCalebb? One day?

11:33 AM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Onterio McCalebb could very well be the next Tristan Davis.

11:38 AM  
Blogger Scott Chocolate said...

Say, that reminds me of a story, Scottie b.

When I was kid growing up in Prattville, we always had lots of military families moving in and out of town. When I was about 12, I was hanging out at one of their houses and was introduced to the family dog, who was named "Fob". I asked the son (who was my age) why the dog was named "Fob", and he said, "Because he's so damn dumb."

Purely coincidentally I'm sure, Fob James was governor at the time.

11:40 AM  
Blogger Scott Chocolate said...

Makes sense to me. Does it to you?

11:42 AM  
Blogger scottie b Tommy Gavin said...

nice SC.

11:43 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Everytime I hear the name Fob James, I'm reminded of a line from a song that isn't too complimentary to him.

"I have to admit, compared to Fob James George Wallace don't seem that bad"

-Drive By Truckers

11:45 AM  
Blogger chip chip said...

somebody closely involved in mobile high school athletics said a few years ago that they could not believe how stupid bammer was to not heavily recruit fairley. he believed fairley was the best hs prospect in mobile that year. if he lives up the hype, hot boy, and other des will have big years too.

i've seen a serious upgrade in in the caliber of dt AU is recruiting the last two years under chizco. tubs went after the big boys and whiffed 99% or got 5*s that couldn't pour piss out of a boot if the instructions were on the heel (i'm looking greg smith's direction). AU always ended up with projects and managed to develop some good ones like marks, stump, ratliff, tj, spencer johnson etc. one AU insider told me at the 2006 msu game in starkiville that blanc would be the best dt to come through AU in a decade. still waiting on that one to happen. he has managed to be serviceable at best.

11:54 AM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Blanc has been okay, but hasn't really had the breakout game yet. I really have high hopes for Fairley. The criticism I read of him last year was basically he was overly aggressive and sometimes got himself out of position. Yea, I will take a player who is overly aggressive. Once he settles in, he could be outstanding.

12:00 PM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

My main defensive concern over the past decade is the smaller DE's that we always seem to have. They are great in the passing game, but get bullied around on the run game.

It can work when you have LB's who can make the tackles and make up for it, however like last year when we had no depth at LB it can be a disaster.

12:00 PM  
Blogger chip chip said...

AU needs that dt that can stick out an arm while engaged with an ol and still bring down the rb.

mentioning tony franklin in a thread is like leaving potato salad in the sun. the shelf life is dramatically reduced.

12:01 PM  
Blogger chip chip said...

and you may vomit after consuming it.

12:02 PM  
Blogger scottie b Tommy Gavin said...

yeah, the TF reference kinda made me turn my nose up a bit. eewwww.

12:08 PM  
Blogger wtc said...

Talk about UAt getting caught by some investigation is as Hoopie stated on a prior thread. It is all noise. AU goes 8-5 and has the #4 recrutiing class. UAt fans were saying AU is back to buying players. Who wants to go to a school who has a coach with a 5-19 record. AU must be paying players. It never stops. Not many accused Shula of paying players. AU was beating UAt and AU fans didn't need to beat Shula up. We wanted Shula to stay.

It is long way to February and AU is in position to land several top line recruits. we will be OK. We are ahead of last years count so be patient.

12:09 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Don't criticize Franklin too much. After all, he is a graduate of the Mike Leach Institute for Public Speaking.

12:10 PM  
Blogger wtc said...

CHIP-I don't think AU found some better DB's and dropped Jones. He is still a very good player and one AU would like to have. Whatever is going on with his decision will come to light. it will just take a little time.

12:11 PM  
Blogger wtc said...

I think Bates at LB is one to watch. If he makes that move, AU has a speedy LB that can more than cover the back out of the backfield. The drag route across the middle hurt AU a lot last year after Bynes & Stevens got wore down. They could not keep up with the RB/WR as he crossed the middle.

12:13 PM  
Blogger War Eagle Girl said...

did all you alabamians vote today?

Thanks for being back to football work Jay!

12:22 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Good point wtc. That was very evident against West Virginia and Arkansas.

12:24 PM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Unfortunately, the LB's weren't the only ones who struggled with crossing routes.

12:26 PM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

I think the #1 breakout candidate should be a true freshman. The combination of youth, sweat and adjusting to a new environment can cause an young man to break out.

12:30 PM  
Blogger digger4au said...

Good news JGT. I hope your are 100% right about him having a break out year. This team really needs great play from defensive tackles. I thought he played pretty well last year most of the time.

12:32 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

What freshman will turn into a breakout player is probably the most interesting topic. Will Trevon Reed be the guy? He could even end up playing corner if he is looking for early playing time.

12:40 PM  
Blogger michael said...

Great one, rk!

Now see ScottChoc, that is how you pun.

12:44 PM  
Blogger chip chip said...

This comment has been removed by the author.

12:44 PM  
Blogger michael said...

Don't hate the playa, hate the game. And the rash.

12:52 PM  
Blogger michael said...

It's about time Jay G change the front page quote to a football themed one, no? How's about you make it one of these awesome puns, Jay?

12:53 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

michael, type something profound and take over the front page.

12:57 PM  
Blogger michael said...

It doesn't get more profound than "Don't hate the playa, hate the game. And the rash." What else do you want from me? More Eurasian plumbing tales?

12:58 PM  
Blogger Norm said...

YES!

1:00 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Mmmm, more Eurasian plumbing tales!!!!

1:01 PM  
Blogger michael said...

What's in it for me? Jay G ignores me when I talk about Eurasia. This is not the way for me to end up on the front page.

1:02 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Possibly a petition to get Michael on the front page is called for here.

1:14 PM  
Blogger scottie b Tommy Gavin said...

i, as a distinguished poster & ROF member, think it is important to diversity front page quotes. to deny true hottie genius is a travesty and an utter failure of freedom, HATE (of all things bammer), and the beAUty of all things orange & blue.

therefore, i ask all of my hottie brethren (and you hottie ladies out there) to rise up and demand that MJT receive the recognition he deserves.

this is scottie b. and i approve this message.

1:23 PM  
Blogger Scott Chocolate said...

I will vote for MJT for front page only if he gives me an autographed copy of his pun instruction book (preferably the one with the forward written by WERK).

1:24 PM  
Blogger Norm said...

"distinguished"?

1:25 PM  
Blogger scottie b Tommy Gavin said...

yes, i am 'distinguished' in my own mind. got a problem with that Norm?

1:40 PM  
Blogger War Eagle Girl said...

Would you really vote for someone just cause Pat Dye tells you to? I am sick of that commercial. I will do nothing that Dye tells me to do.

1:41 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

There is so much we can learn from Michael, like what was the best thing before sliced bread.

1:45 PM  
Blogger michael said...

Guys, no need to call for a front page quote placement for me. I have already been up there two or three times. Let the flow happen naturally, babies.

SC - I would have signed the pun instruction book if only you had asked me to BOOK you a copy. But you didn't.

1:48 PM  
Blogger Norm said...

scottieb - after that clarification, I take no issue with the statement. Carry on.

Go forward. Move ahead. Try to detect it.

1:51 PM  
Blogger chip chip said...

if pat dye said to me, "this is some good whiskey, take a nip and see what i'm talking about." i would drink the whiskey. i hate whiskey.

1:54 PM  
Blogger Gov. Jet said...

Paid Political Adv. by Concerned Citizens of HABOTN.

ANNOUNCER (preferably a male, 3 pack a day smoker): Liberal Scottie B wants to force quotas on HABOTN.

Others are speaking out against Auburn legends like Coach Pat Dye.

Fight back against those who want to crush our way of life.

Hoopie wants to end rampant speculation.

On July 13, defend HABOTN. Tell the liberals we believe in Auburn and love it.

1:54 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Pat Dye is a 60 minute man who lost his pants. I respect Pat Dye.

1:56 PM  
Blogger chip chip said...

hey liberals, i believe in Auburn and love it!

1:56 PM  
Blogger scottie b Tommy Gavin said...

great, i'm a liberal.

i had no idea.

1:57 PM  
Blogger michael said...

Pat Dye once punched a clown in the stomach in front of a group of 4 year olds.

1:58 PM  
Blogger Tar Heel Tiger said...

chip chip - were you looking towards TVA when you said that?

2:07 PM  
Blogger Hoopie said...

Chris Low has issued his SEC Preseason East-West All Star Teams. Thorpe and Washington made the list.



SEC All Star Team





http://espn.go.com/blog/sec

2:16 PM  
Blogger Tar Heel Tiger said...

poor ol' George Steinbrenner

2:16 PM  
Blogger chip chip said...

did the clown have the irresistible urge to thank him?

2:18 PM  
Blogger chip chip said...

is the tennessee valley authority liberal? who knew...

2:20 PM  
Blogger chip chip said...

i love how a guy with exactly 0 starts at qb makes the east team.

by that logic, cam newton for sec player of the year, hiesman and all the other qb awards out there.

2:24 PM  
Blogger Tar Heel Tiger said...

ain't got time to wait for...

2:25 PM  
Blogger Tar Heel Tiger said...

BEASLEY!!!

2:25 PM  
Blogger Hoopie said...

Rampant Speculation wastes time, efforts, money and emotion. It is a plague upon America that infects us all.

2:28 PM  
Blogger chip chip said...

speculation about the demise of the turds and recruiting is both entertaining and useful. it helps some of us get by until kickoff against asu. the rest, i agree, is useless

2:30 PM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

So who's gonna be IV on JayG's list of five people he's watching?

More importantly, what will their theme song be?

2:31 PM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

I like Lowe's headline of "Gators Defriended"

2:31 PM  
Blogger chip chip said...

what is truly useless is a computer with less than 50 usb ports.

2:32 PM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

It's going to be Eric Smith and the song will be "Street Fighting Man" by the Rolling Stones.


or

Ziemba and the song will be "I'm In A Hurry" by Alabama.

2:32 PM  
Blogger Gov. Jet said...

(Paid Political Ad by Concerned Citizens of HABOTN, Norm, Treasurer.)

Americans defeated the Red Coats for this.

From then on, at New Orleans, at the Alamo, in the Argonne, at Normandy, at Iwo Jima, at Inchon and in the jungles of Vietnam ...

... and today, in the mountains of Afghanistan and in the sands of Iraq, the battle for freedom wages on.

But there are those who think big government knows better, and they want to end your right to speculate.

Sticks and stones may break our bones, but our words we own.

Give me speculation or give me death.

2:33 PM  
Blogger Norm said...

HARRUMPH!

2:40 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Eric Smith is one player that I am looking for good things from this season, even though we heard little from him in the spring. He seems like a guy that can do a variety of things, which Malzahn likes.

As for Newton for Heisman, I did read an article that listed him as a "sleeper". I find it kind of ironic because while at Florida he was known as having questionable accuracy.

2:40 PM  
Blogger michael said...

Cam Newton is 100% accurate with his throws and at the very least will be first team all SEC

2:44 PM  
Blogger Hoopie said...

Chip ..there aren't a lot of QB candidates available in the SEC East.

On another note: Pondscum seems hellbent on convincing the football world that Richt needs to go now. Some heavy-hitter UGA folks I know all say that Richt is STILL SAFE for now. They have more of a problem with his lack of discipline than winning.


PF is after Richt

2:45 PM  
Blogger chip chip said...

yeah, if the stolen laptop he threw out of his dorm window had landed in the dumpster instead of beside it, he may be the gators starting qb this year. his accuracy at uf was definitely a problem...

2:46 PM  
Blogger Hoopie said...

Chip ..Trashing Bama and it's minions is good for the soul in any form ...including Rampant Speculation.

2:47 PM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Richt seemed to be a straight arrow about discipline early on at UGA, but then 3 or 4 years ago it's like he just stopped and let the players run everything.

2:47 PM  
Blogger Norm said...

I think that I will be the next entrant on the "The Five I'm Watching" list. Clearly, it doesn't have to be a current player. Why not me? I am "IV" according to my birth certificate (which I'll gladly supply unlike some folks in the news). It should be me, no question about it.

2:47 PM  
Blogger chip chip said...

that certain radio show host whose name shall not be mentioned has a vested interest in removing all threats to the midget's power structure. richt is a good coach and thus a threat. meyer, chizco. & miles are the other obvious ones he would like to see replaced with a mike (dubose, price or shula).

2:51 PM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

I'm adding Maria Menoundos to my 5 to watch list after seeing her run out a groundout during the softball game last night.

2:52 PM  
Blogger Hoopie said...

I've seen where Gator fans are speculating where Cam may have acquired some passing fundamentals. According to them he was severely lacking. Of course the Gus Bus may be a better teacher of passing fundamentals than the Hunchback of Starkville.

2:54 PM  
Blogger chip chip said...

the commercials that are on wnsp in mobile for that certain radio program are the epitome of what the show is about. the commercials include only the following soundbites: stupid AU callers screaming at him, or cousin humpers telling a texas fan that they suck. the agenda is crystal clear.

2:55 PM  
Blogger Gov. Jet said...

Just because the Department of Homeland Security is watching you, Norm, doesn't mean Jay G's watching you.

2:56 PM  
Blogger Gov. Jet said...

RK ...

Maria moved down the baseline quite well.

2:57 PM  
Blogger Hoopie said...

Jennie Fischer is almost as good looking and ...she hits home runs.

PF has to have a whipping boy so he can use his predictable superlatives and stir up the mullets. If one is not readily available, he'll lobby until he starts convincing the masses.

2:59 PM  
Blogger Norm said...

Jet - you really know how to hurt a guy. I have so little in my life that about all I can do is dream. Well not so much any more thanks to you. Butthead.

2:59 PM  
Blogger Gov. Jet said...

I can see your predicament. I think I'd rather have Jay G interested in me than Janet Napolitano.

3:00 PM  
Blogger scottie b Tommy Gavin said...

i still can't get over the fact i'm become east tennessee liberal scum.

it's mind-boggling.

3:02 PM  
Blogger scottie b Tommy Gavin said...

and apparently i've lost my grip on the english language too.

3:02 PM  
Blogger Hoopie said...

SB ..You and AlGore must be the only 2 liberals in ETenn.

3:11 PM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Come on Scottie, that was never a really tight grip anyway.

3:11 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Cam's numbers at Blinn looked very similar to Todd's last season in terms of passing. Cam's numbers were slightly better.

What was striking is the rushing numbers. Cam had around 650 while Todd was somewhere below zero.

No, it isn't a fair comparison because of the different talent level, but it is some of what little we have to go on.

3:13 PM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Were the majority of Cam's positive numbers in 4 games?

3:16 PM  
Blogger Hoopie said...

Todd had adequate passing fundamentals with a dead arm.

Cam has a cannon with erratic fundamentals.

3:17 PM  
Blogger Seanzie said...

Who else would be the starting QB for the East team? Garcia? The dude at UT, yet to be named? The kid at UGA? The new kid at UK, how about that 2nd year Vandy player who was terrible?

I think Brantely is the most sound of all choices.

3:21 PM  
Blogger Hoopie said...

Although PF's tactics are the same since he went national on Sirius/XM radio, he has definitely upgraded his interviewees and the quality of the call-in listeners. He is slowly phasing out the inbred call-ins. I say slowly because PF recognizes that the rest of the nation is enjoying a full dose of some of Alabama's best fools.

3:23 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Y'all are giving Peter way to much criticism.

3:25 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

As for the games, Newton's were pretty much like any QBs. Better numbers against poorer opponents. That isn't nothing new.

3:27 PM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

I know that you put up better numbers vs lower opponents, but Todd was night and day in the conference and outside of the conference.

The 4 regular season non-conference games, Todd had 15 TD's and 1 INT

The 8 conference games he had 6 TD's and 5 INTs

3:34 PM  
Blogger Seanzie said...

Y'all are crazy. College football is dumb.

3:34 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

I have been thinking the seat might not be so hot for Richt this season since he got him a new DC, but if he turns in another 7-5 season, I would color him gone.

3:37 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Todd had a couple of bad games against SEC opponents.

3:38 PM  
Blogger digger4au said...

What ever happened to the 2010 Ring of Fire inductees. There was a vote called for and then the wc happened with zero results from said vote.

3:39 PM  
Blogger Jay G. Tate said...

100% completions from Cam Newton is approximately what some people are expecting.

3:40 PM  
Blogger Scott Chocolate said...

Don't you blaspheme in here!

3:40 PM  
Blogger Scott Chocolate said...

Last comment directed at Seanzie, not JGT (who can blaspheme all up in here if he wants to).

3:41 PM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Jay G,

That's a bit much. People have far to much that they expect out of him.

He'll get 75% of his passes completed and have a 15-1 TD to INT ratio, but those people expecting 100% are crazy.

3:41 PM  
Blogger digger4au said...

I expect 60% completion but with great leadership.

3:42 PM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

Another East Tennessee Liberal at your service here.

3:44 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

I can't understand anyone ranking John Brantley as the best QB in the East when he hasn't done anything yet. I guess it is more of an indication of the lack of QB talent in the East. Spurrier seems to be giving Garcia no respect at all and is not bringing him to media days, even though he is a senior.

3:44 PM  
Blogger Seanzie said...

I'm thinking Cam will be somewhere in the ~2k passing. 12-18 TDs. 8-12 INTs. Roughly 50-65% Completion Ratio. I also expect him to run for about 600 yards and another handful of scores.

3:44 PM  
Blogger Seanzie said...

Personally, if I'm Spurrier, I play the kid.

3:44 PM  
Blogger Jay G. Tate said...

I expect Newton's TD/INT ratio to be no worse than 3:1.

Or he'll get yanked.

3:45 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Cam was at about 60% at Blinn with about 4 TDs per interception. I would love to see those numbers at Auburn. Throw in a few hundred yards of rushing and we will have a darn good QB.

3:45 PM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Jay G,

15 interceptions is a lot for the 45 TD's he's guaranteed to throw.

3:46 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

If he is below 55% completion rate, I would expect him to be riding the pine.

3:47 PM  
Blogger digger4au said...

Garcia will start but Spurrier keeps the long hook close by at all times so he better show improvement.

3:48 PM  
Blogger Scott Chocolate said...

I would like to see Buckethead play QB for the Tahd this year.

3:48 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Spurrier seems to have gotten more and more impatient with his QBs as he has aged. I don't think it has been a good thing.

3:53 PM  
Blogger michael said...

Spurrier has always been impatient with QBs. Even Wuerffel was in and out before establishing himself.

4:01 PM  
Blogger michael said...

Oh, and PUPPET HOUR! AAAHHHH!!!!!

4:01 PM  
Blogger War Eagle Girl said...

Sorry I am not in love with PD. I was living out of the illustrious state and across the pond and all I got to hear was the negative with probation. Sometimes it is good to be away. Now to me he is an old guy like Bear and I don't want AU to look anything like that school up the road.

4:08 PM  
Blogger michael said...

So what did Pat Dye do again? Besides punching that clown in the stomach?

4:12 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Pat Dye was a much different person late in his career at Auburn. If he had been healthy, I don't think things would have gotten so out of hands.

4:15 PM  
Blogger michael said...

And now he is pushing political candidates on us and punching clowns. The nerve!

4:18 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

I keep reading good things about Dan Mullen. The latest is he is the third best coach in the SEC. I am already nervous about that Thursday night game.

4:27 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

It is Captain Phil night on the Deadliest Catch. I really hated to see that guy pass.

4:50 PM  
Blogger Norm said...

People of the HABOTN, I have returned!

5:11 PM  
Blogger Wakeriderof87 said...

Hey guys did you hear that, Norm's back

5:21 PM  
Blogger cincytiger said...

Welcome back, Norm.

5:39 PM  
Blogger CH=B=Nidiots said...

SFC, I never thought Deadliest Catch could be sad but the last two weeks have been just that.

5:44 PM  
Blogger NoVaTiger said...

Phil and his sons are the most interesting people on that show. He seems like he was a great guy. I wish his sons well.

And like Norm, I'm back, from vacation. If anyone likes rafting, I highly recommend the all day trip on the lower New River Gorge. Great class IV-V's.

5:46 PM  
Blogger Norm said...

Deadliest Catch is one of the best shows on tv. I won't say that Phil was my favorite on the show, but he wasn't my least favorite.

5:50 PM  
Blogger cincytiger said...

Norm, Kind of like BL with Lime?

5:59 PM  
Blogger CH=B=Nidiots said...

It's been a great show. I hope it stays around for a while longer.

I'm jealous Nova. I love rafting although I've only been in "white water" once. I went on the Chattooga several years ago.

6:00 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Deadliest Catch is a good show, especially in terms of reality TV.

I hate that one of the last shows I saw showed Phil catching his son stealing some of his medicine. Phil jumped all over the kid, as he should. But I hope that kid realizes that he got so upset because he cared, not because he didn't.

6:06 PM  
Blogger cincytiger said...

Instead of our annual beach trip, we decided last year that this year we could go to the Smokey Mountains. Turns out that was a great decision.

Our plans had been to go white water rafting. However, I have a friend who went with her husband on vacation to Colorado last month. He died in a rafting accident. They weren't even in very rough rapids and were on their second run down the river. It was the first fatality in this company's 25 year history.

I know thousands of people go rafting all the time with no problem, but I kind of have an irrational fear about going rafting now. I decided to bow out of the trip and stay with my daughter who can't go because of her pregnancy. Hopefully I will get over this so I can go sometime, but I think I can live without ever experiencing it.

6:09 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Discovery has some of the best shows. The Colony's second season is suppose to start soon, the 27th if I remember right. It is an interesting show, although some of the stuff seems overdramatized.

Mythbusters is must see TV. Any show whose description includes "blow stuff up" can't be bad.

6:10 PM  
Blogger ehyou said...

People of the HABOTN, I have returned!

6:24 PM  
Blogger ehyou said...

I was actually the first, Norm just copied me.

6:24 PM  
Blogger Tar Heel Tiger said...

mashed taters, 2 large servings (mine and half of LGGB's) of country style steak so tender you have to eat it with a spoon, fried okra (corn meal, of course, not flour), fresh corn, biscuit, chocolate chip ice cream... yep, I'm tight as a tick.

6:32 PM  
Blogger Tar Heel Tiger said...

I think rafting would be a blast. However, I don't do boats. The water isn't usually too deep when rafting, but the rocks that can knock you unconscious, or the hydraulics that can suck you under a rock into oblivion are enough to keep me from getting into whitewater.

6:47 PM  
Blogger ehyou said...

thank you falettinme be mice elf again

6:52 PM  
Blogger ehyou said...

THT...
How could that boy leave half a country fried steak?

6:53 PM  
Blogger Tar Heel Tiger said...

ehyou - I can assure you, LGGB would never leave half a country fried steak. In fact, he'd eat as many servings as he could get. But country style steak, that's a different story. 2.0 showed MrsTHT how to make it super duper tender every time. It's so good I could jump in a tub filled with it and be happy. LGGB doesn't share that degree of fondness for that particular dish.

7:17 PM  
Blogger Norm said...

Somethin's just not right about that boy.

7:18 PM  
Blogger stupup74 said...

JGT,

I think your analysis was spot on. Nick Fairley is the guy that the defense will pivot on.

If Nick Fairley goes above the numbers your projected, I think the Auburn defense swings upward (ie less the 20 ppg allowed, etc.) If he goes below, then all bets are off.

7:23 PM  
Blogger SteveFC said...

Why Jawja fears Auburn?

7:44 PM  
Blogger FSJ said...

From the previous two threads?

Bama cheating....really?

I thought for a minute that Oliver Stone was posting on the blog..

7:52 PM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

This town needs an enemy.

7:54 PM  
Blogger Peter Frankenschmidt said...

I don't have time for this place anymore. I'm just gonna post at Gannett World Cup from now on. I think we can reach 1000 eventually there, too.

8:44 PM  
Blogger Peter Frankenschmidt said...

I cracked a finger rafting the Ocoee. It sucked.

8:57 PM  
Blogger NoVaTiger said...

Steve, the show after Phil caught Josh in his drugs, he was going through old family pictures and having a good time with his sons. That was very shortly before the stroke. I'm sure they treasure that memory.

9:09 PM  
Blogger NoVaTiger said...

Yes, rafting is little risky. So is scuba diving and so is driving on the DC beltway. You take reasonable precautions but you have to live life.

I'm thinking of doing the Gauley this fall (same area as the New). It's 14 miles of continuous class IV's and V's dropping 66ft/mile. Not for novices but sounds like a blast.

9:14 PM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

Concering le Tour, tt's too bad about Lance Armstrong's bad luck this year, but the real duel between Contador and Schleck is shaping up to be as good as anything we've seen in the Tour de France in some time I think.

It's gonna be fun to watch what happens over the next week and a half.

9:42 PM  
Blogger michael said...

People of HABOTN, I have returned!

9:45 PM  
Blogger cincytiger said...

Nova,
I am not usually a fearful person, but like I said this is an irrational fear. Hopefully I will get over it when a little time passes. This just happened a couple of weeks ago so it is pretty fresh.

9:49 PM  
Blogger cincytiger said...

This All-Star game is kind of boring. I'd like to see a little more offense.

9:55 PM  
Blogger cincytiger said...

OK, Brian McCann just spiced things up a little!

9:57 PM  
Blogger wellsAU said...

rumors about dre kirkpatrick being kicked off the team?

10:29 PM  
Blogger Hoopie said...

Cincy ...If you are around the Ga-Tn-NC border, try starting with something docile like the Nantahala River (class 1s and 2s), then go to the Ocoee River(class 3s-4s).

I would recommend doing those lessor rivers and being in very good shape and a good swimmer prior to doing a river with class 4s and 5s.

It's as much about being in the cool water and the scenery as it is the challenge of the river.

10:39 PM  
Blogger wtc said...

NOVA-I did the New RIver several years ago when staying at The Greenbriar. Volunteered to go down the first set of rapids on my back. Water was ICE COLD. Stayed in the boat afterward.

10:52 PM  
Blogger wtc said...

EBRO-Wonder if Cantador and Schleck wore themelves out today. Tough ride through the Alps. Great TV though. What a closing run by those two.

10:53 PM  
Blogger wtc said...

So AU is no longer recruiting Chris Jones. It is VERY early to talk recruiting, but that whole situation is just strange. Looks like his parents told him he was not going to AU period. He really chapped some coaches yesterday when he told them.

10:55 PM  
Blogger wtc said...

In better news, Bonomolo is ready to go. He will arrive on August 1st. Says he will do whatever it takes to make the starting lineup. Looks like a tough DE and will help alot.

10:56 PM  
Blogger Tar Heel Tiger said...

Good morning, Hotties!

52 days til kickoff!!!

GO TIGERS!!!

WARRRRRRRRRRRRRRR EAGLE!!!

4:38 AM  
Blogger NoVaTiger said...

Cincy. I understand your reluctance. Give it some time then start slow like Hoopie said.

WTC, Air temps were mid 90's. The water was nice and we were frequently swimming between rapids.

The Gualey is a dam release river so the water comes from the bottom of a lake. Water temps around 57. That's what wet suits are for.

4:53 AM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

wtc...Wondered the same thing about Schleck and Contador. Was definitely shocked to see them catch up on the descent. Didn't expect such aggressive riding until the Pyrenees. Maybe these two are just in a class of their own. Looks like it.

They'll at least have the next week or so (outside today's moderate mountain stage) to let their teammates do the work in the peloton and let the sprinters hog the spotlight. Though the pressure to control the race is now on Team Saxo Bank with Schleck in yellow. Can they handle it?

5:59 AM  
Blogger E-Bro said...

As far as rafting goes, I love it, and I say that as one who only goes once a year if that. I do it the Hoopie way. Go down the Ocoee in August when it's at its hottest to cool off in the water and enjoy the scenery.

The rapids are fun too and I have fallen out a couple of times, but it's all part of the fun if you have the right equipment. Love when we get to calm waters and you can just get ouf of the raft and float down river. Water feels sublime then.

6:04 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

McCann's game last night summed up the Braves 1st half.

He left 2 on with a long fly out his first time up, but knocked in the winning run when it mattered.

6:32 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

Is Norm awake, we are getting close to a flip.

6:41 AM  
Blogger Norm said...

Barely Wake, barely.

6:42 AM  
Blogger Norm said...

Stupid recurring/periodic insomnia.

6:43 AM  
Blogger Norm said...

3 hours sleep last night. The problem is, those 3 hours weren't together.

6:43 AM  
Blogger Norm said...

Looks like I picked the wrong week to stop sniffing glue.

6:44 AM  
Blogger Norm said...

Boom!

To the cafeteria I go.

6:44 AM  
Blogger ehyou said...

Guess what I am now...

6:47 AM  
Blogger WarEagleRK said...

NORM!

6:48 AM  
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